{"id":1872,"date":"2021-08-14T21:16:52","date_gmt":"2021-08-14T13:16:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/?p=1872"},"modified":"2021-08-14T21:38:20","modified_gmt":"2021-08-14T13:38:20","slug":"what-are-the-chances-of-that-how-to-think-about-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/index.php\/2021\/08\/14\/what-are-the-chances-of-that-how-to-think-about-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"What are the Chances of That?: How to Think About Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u300c\u90a3\u6a23\u505a\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u601d\u8003\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\u9019\u672c\u66f8\uff0c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6a5f\u6703 (chance) \u8207\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027 (uncertainty) \u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027, \u4ee5\u53ca\u4e86\u89e3\u5b83\u5011\u5982\u4f55\u5f62\u5851\u6b77\u53f2\u8207\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u8b58\u5b83\u5011\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5167\u5bb9\u76ee\u9304<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"324\" data-attachment-id=\"1873\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/index.php\/2021\/08\/14\/what-are-the-chances-of-that-how-to-think-about-uncertainty\/attachment\/9780198869023\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023.png\" data-orig-size=\"3436,1086\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"9780198869023\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-1024x324.png\" src=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-1024x324.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1873\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-1024x324.png 1024w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-300x95.png 300w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-768x243.png 768w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-1536x485.png 1536w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-2048x647.png 2048w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-830x262.png 830w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-230x73.png 230w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-350x111.png 350w, https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/9780198869023-480x152.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Table of Contents<br>What are the Chances of That?: How to Think About Uncertainty<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/0198869029\">Amazon<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u300c\u90a3\u6a23\u505a\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u601d\u8003\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\u9019\u672c\u66f8\uff0c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6a5f\u6703 (chance) \u8207\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027 (uncertainty) \u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027, \u4ee5\u53ca\u4e86\u89e3\u5b83\u5011\u5982\u4f55\u5f62\u5851\u6b77\u53f2\u8207\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u8b58\u5b83\u5011\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 \u5167\u5bb9\u76ee\u9304 \u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599 Amaz [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[153,154,155],"class_list":["post-1872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ebook","tag-mathematics","tag-probability-statistics","tag-science"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/cover-1-e1628948171153.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"shortie","author_link":"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/index.php\/author\/shortie\/"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What are the Chances of That?: How to Think About Uncertainty - \u56db\u7dad\u4e8c\u6728\u4e4b\u5bb6<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/index.php\/2021\/08\/14\/what-are-the-chances-of-that-how-to-think-about-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_TW\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What are the Chances of That?: How to Think About Uncertainty - \u56db\u7dad\u4e8c\u6728\u4e4b\u5bb6\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u300c\u90a3\u6a23\u505a\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6709\u591a\u5927\uff1f\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u601d\u8003\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u300d\u9019\u672c\u66f8\uff0c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u6a5f\u6703 (chance) \u8207\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027 (uncertainty) \u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027, \u4ee5\u53ca\u4e86\u89e3\u5b83\u5011\u5982\u4f55\u5f62\u5851\u6b77\u53f2\u8207\u6587\u5316\uff0c\u4e26\u8a8d\u8b58\u5b83\u5011\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 \u5167\u5bb9\u76ee\u9304 \u53c3\u8003\u8cc7\u6599 Amaz [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/index.php\/2021\/08\/14\/what-are-the-chances-of-that-how-to-think-about-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\u56db\u7dad\u4e8c\u6728\u4e4b\u5bb6\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-08-14T13:16:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-08-14T13:38:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/wordpress.cine.idv.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/cover-1-e1628948171153.jpg?fit=300%2C453&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"300\" \/>\n\t<meta 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